M-Class solar flare M9.3 earth bound – Volcano / Earthquake Watch July 30-Aug 4 , 2011

July 28, 2011

Three large sunspots emerging on the sun’s eastern limb could produce more significant solar flares in the coming days. Active region 11260 is the most active, producing at least twelve C-class flares the last 24 hours and an M1.1 class flare in the late hours of July 27. This new activity more than doubling the total for the entire month of July so far. New active region 11262, however, could eventually cause more trouble. Magnetograms of the active region reveal a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for powerful X-class eruptions.

July 29, 2011

Sunspot 1260 has developed a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for powerful X-class solar flares an eruption would be Earth-directed. Elenin starts its pass by Sun could increase the chance for an X-Class

Impacts will be on satellite communication, and there is also an associated earthquake threat ..

July 30, 2011

STRONG FLARE: AR11261 unleashed a brief but strong M9-class solar flare on July 30th at 0209 UT. Because of its brevity, the eruption probably did not hurl a substantial CME toward Earth, but this is not yet a firm conclusion

Three big sunspot groups are rotating across the Earth-facing side of the sun. One of them, AR1261, is morphing into a circular ring. The magnetic field of this shape-shifting sunspot is crackling with C- and M-class solar flares, including a powerful M9-blast to begin the day on July 30th. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of more such flares during the next 24 hours.

Targeting Coronal Hole (CH468) which could produce two significant earthquakes over 6.6 in magnitude.
First region is plotted to 27-34° North Latitude
Possible regions that could be at risk for a significant earthquake are:
Bonin Islands Japan, Izu Islands Japan, Sichuan China, Western Turkey

Or a possible volcanic eruption in the Canary Islands(La Palma / Hierro)

Related Article: CUMBRE VIEJA VOLCANO Palma Canary Islands

Second region plotted to 35-38° North Latitude.
Possible locations that could be at risk for a significant earthquake Aug 2-4 are :
Honshu-Japan or Central/Northern California-America

OLR anomaly indicates Papua New Guinea could receive a significant earthquake during this watch period

Two other regions that could recieve a smaller event
(5.5M) are Vancouver Island-Canada or the Sandwich Islands region

Links:

SolarIMG website
http://solarimg.org
Soho Website
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/
Solar Soft website
http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Helioviewer
http://www.helioviewer.org/
Quality Dedicated Solar Website Link
http://solarimg.org/artis/
GOES Xray Flux Data
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5mBL.html
Sunspot Information from Solar Monitor
http://www.solarmonitor.org/
Space Weather Website
http://www.spaceweather.com/
Geomagnetic storm index      http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/index.html                                           World Wide list of Webcams for Volcanoes        http://bigthink.com/ideas/26619

Source and author: SolarWatcher * thebarcaroller *  dutchsinse (youtube)

3 responses to “M-Class solar flare M9.3 earth bound – Volcano / Earthquake Watch July 30-Aug 4 , 2011

  1. He got it right about Japan as there has just been a 6.4 very close to Fukishima 25 miles away so expect more these coming days, I really feel Japan is going to suffer a lot more as they are on a mass of floating land and anything big is going to sink the land more and those nuclear plants are going to create a global threat to us all!

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